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Ramón González-Hernández

Phone Numbers: (786) 845-8756 Home; (786) 486-6341 Mobile

Address: 5078 NW 114th Path, Doral, FL, 33178, USA.

E -Mails: rgonz002@fiu.edu ; rgonzalez03@gmail.com.

Url: www.fiu.edu/~rgonz002

                                 

Florida International University (FIU)                                    Research Statement

Department of Economics

11200 S.W. 8th Street

DM Building, 3rd Floor

Miami, FL., 33199

USA

Tel: (305) 348-2316 – Fax: (305) 348-1524

 

Research FieldS

 

-Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

-International Economics.

 

CURRENT RESEARCH

 

WORKING PAPERS

 

Dissertation Title: “Essays in Open Economy Macroeconomics”   

 

-Habit Formation, Adjustments Costs, and International Business Cycle Puzzles.

 

Abstract

This paper analyzes the extent to which incorporating habit formation and adjustment costs in investment in a one-good two-country general equilibrium model would help overcome some of the international business cycle puzzles. Unlike the standard RBC models, the model used here generates persistent, cyclical adjustment paths in response to shocks. The model also yields positive cross-country correlations in consumption, employment, investment and output, with cross-country correlations in output higher than the ones in consumption that are qualitatively consistent with the stylized facts. These results are particularly striking given the predicted negative correlations in investment, employment and output that are typically found in the literature.

 

Key words: Habit formation, adjustment costs, international correlations, international business cycle puzzles.

 

JEL classification: E13, E20, E32.

 

-Comparison Utility, Endogenous Time Preference, and Economic Growth.

 

Abstract

This paper analyzes the extent to which a model where consumers' preferences exhibit comparison-based utility and endogenous discounting improves upon the existing literature in mimicking the transitional dynamics of an economy after a shock that destroys part of its capital stock. It is shown that under inward-looking endogenous preferences (habit formation), the model is able to qualitatively resemble the observed stylized facts after the destruction of capital in Europe and Japan during World War II. Moreover, the model outperforms existing ones in replicating the behavior of the saving rate (both on impact and along the transient paths) after this historical event.

 

Key words: Comparison utility, Habit formation, Endogenous time preference, Economic growth.

 

JEL classification: D91, E21, O40

 

-An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Expectation Formation Mechanism in Developing Economies.

(Work in Progress)

 

This paper analyzes empirically whether there are differences in the exchange rate expectation formation mechanism in a sample of Latin-American countries. Standard co-integration and error correction econometric techniques are used to test for the existence of a long-term stable relation for an exchange rate expectation formation mechanism built from a nested specification of the main theories of exchange rate behavior: (i) “Purchasing Power Parity”, (ii) “Uncovered Interest Parity” and the (iii) “Random Walk Hypothesis” in the line of the one presented in Sánchez-Fung and Prazmowski (2004)[1]. In general a thorough analysis of the nature of the exchange rate expectation mechanism is important for understanding phenomena such as the “peso problem” and the “fear of floating” and is useful for the formulation and implementation of monetary and exchange rate policy in developing countries.

 

Key words: Exchange rate expectation formation mechanism, PPP, UIP, random walk, developing economies.

 

JEL classification: E40, E47, E52

 

[1] Sánchez-Fung, José R., and Peter A. Prazmowski (2004). “PPP, Random Walks, and UIP after interest rate liberalization in a small developing economy”, Economics Bulletin, 6, 1-7.

 

In this study the authors conclude that the uncovered interest parity is the main driver of exchange rate expectations in the Dominican Republic. The extension to a representative sample of developing countries will help to see if this finding can be generalized to other developing economies.