Cuban Research Institute

Institute for Public Opinion Research
School of Journalism and Mass Communication

Center for Labor Research and Studies

Florida International University

All question texts, references results from data, and other information on this site (c) 2000 Florida International University

Preliminary results, FIU/Cuba Poll

Comparison of selected questions over the last 10 years



%   CUBAN SAMPLES (all 2000 data is preliminary)
WHEN WILL MAJOR POLITICAL CHANGE OCCUR IN CUBA?
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Within 1 year 28% 47% 28% 15% 11% 7.3%
in 2 to 5 years 35% 30% 29% 26% 25% 25.1%
in 6 to 10 years 5% 3% 4% 9% 14% 8.9%
over ten years 3% 2% 4% 4% 11% 11.1%
never 9% 4% 8% 18% 17% 21.4%
don't know/nr 21% 14% 26% 27% 23% 1.9%
ESTABLISH NATIONAL DIALOG?
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Strongly Favor 20.0% 29.1% 20.6% 18.9% 27.8% 31.3%
Mostly Favor 15.5% 17.1% 18.8% 17.7% 20.5% 15.7%
Mostly Oppose 5.7% 7.6% 3.2% 6.2% 13.0% 10.7%
Strongly Oppose 40.8% 29.1% 37.3% 37.8% 32.3% 33.3%
Not with Fidel/Raul 7.2% 10.8% 11.8% 9.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Don’t' know/no answer 10.8% 6.3% 8.3% 9.8% 6.4% 9.0%
TIGHTENING THE EMBARGO?
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Strongly Favor 68.2% 74.0% 69.1% 71.0% 71.9% 56.9% (Favor)
Mostly Favor 11.8% 8.4% 10.8% 9.0%
Mostly Oppose 5.3% 5.1% 5.3% 4.6% 20.1% 34.2% (Oppose)
Strongly Oppose 7.0% 6.6% 9.0% 10.8%
Not with Fidel/Raul 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.6%
Don’t' know/no answer 7.7% 5.3% 5.8% 4.1% 8.0% 8.9% (Don’t' know/no answer)
note: different wording throughout years.
SUPPORT US INVASION OF CUBA?
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Strongly Favor 44.3% 37.1% 43.8% 44.6% 49.7% 46.0%
Mostly Favor 12.0% 12.4% 11.5% 10.1% 13.3% 10.2%
Mostly Oppose 11.0% 10.4% 8.8% 10.5% 13.7% 9.3%
Strongly Oppose 22.7% 32.1% 27.8% 27.9% 19.5% 27.6%
Not with Fidel/Raul 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Don’t' know/no answer 10.0% 7.0% 8.2% 6.7% 3.8% 7.0%
SUPPORT EXILE INVASION
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Strongly Favor 57.7% 58.1% 56.9% 55.4% 53.8% 51.7%
Mostly Favor 13.3% 11.1% 11.8% 13.4% 15.3% 12.6%
Mostly Oppose 8.3% 8.3% 7.5% 7.7% 13.3% 8.9%
Strongly Oppose 13.7% 17.2% 18.1% 17.3% 14.5% 19.9%
Not with Fidel/Raul 0.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Don’t' know/no answer 7.0% 4.5% 5.7% 6.1% 3.0% 6.9%
SUPPORT INTERNAL REBELLION
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Strongly Favor 61.0% 52.3% 53.2% 52.0% N/A N/A
Mostly Favor 18.3% 21.2% 18.3% 17.6% N/A N/A
Mostly Oppose 4.2% 9.6% 7.2% 9.7% N/A N/A
Strongly Oppose 9.7% 11.8% 14.0% 14.6% N/A N/A
Not with Fidel/Raul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% N/A N/A
Don’t' know/no answer 6.8% 5.1% 7.30% 5.70% N/A N/A
SUPPORT HUMAN RIGHTS GROUP INSIDE OF CUBA?
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Strongly Favor 69.0% 73.2% 71.4% 73.9% 71.6% 76.9%
Mostly Favor 14.5% 15.1% 15.0% 13.5% 17.8% 14.1%
Mostly Oppose 2.2% 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 3.1% 1.8%
Strongly Oppose 4.8% 3.8% 4.7% 3.6% 4.4% 3.4%
Not with Fidel/Raul 2.0% 3.0% 2.2% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Don’t' know/no answer 7.5% 3.0% 4.5% 4.8% 3.2% 3.7%
ALLOW MEDCINE SALES TO CUBA?
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Strongly Favor N/A N/A 29.3% 35.2% 28.1% 43.1%
Mostly Favor N/A N/A 18.5% 24.5% 25.8% 21.2%
Mostly Oppose N/A N/A 7.5% 7.3% 11.5% 6.4%
Strongly Oppose N/A N/A 31.8% 25.2% 31.6% 26.6%
Not with Fidel/Raul N/A N/A 8.8% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Don’t' know/no answer N/A N/A 4.2% 3.3% 3.0% 2.6%
ALLOW FOOD SALES TO CUBA?
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Strongly Favor N/A N/A 14.8% 16.3% 20.3% 37.3%
Mostly Favor N/A N/A 7.8% 11.0% 18.6% 17.4%
Mostly Oppose N/A N/A 9.3% 11.2% 16.1% 8.6%
Strongly Oppose N/A N/A 53.1% 51.4% 41.4% 33.8%
Not with Fidel/Raul N/A N/A 11.8% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Don’t' know/no answer N/A N/A 3.2% 3.8% 3.2% 3.0%
ALLOW UNRESTRICTED TRAVEL TO CUBA?
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Strongly Favor 29.8% 32.8% 21.6% 21.1% N/A 50.6% (ALLOW)
Mostly Favor 13.3% 15.2% 17.0% 14.5% N/A
Mostly Oppose 5.5% 5.0% 4.8% 8.6% N/A 45.3% (NOT ALLOW)
Strongly Oppose 38.8% 33.1% 43.4% 47.5% N/A
Not with Fidel/Raul 7.8% 10.4% 8.7% 4.9% N/A 0.0%
Don’t' know/no answer 4.7% 3.5% 4.5% 3.5% N/A 4.1% (DON'T KNOW / N/A)
IF DEMOCRATIC CHANGE OCCURS WOULD YOU RETURN TO LIVE?
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Very Likely 15.7% 18.0% 17.5% 15.7% 14.0% 21.2%
Some What Likely 11.2% 12.7% 11.1% 12.9% 14.7% 16.5%
Not Very Likely 17.0% 15.4% 18.8% 17.8% 18.3% 18.6%
Not at all Likely 50.7% 50.0% 50.1% 49.8% 51.1% 40.7%
Don’t' know/no answer 5.5% 3.8% 2.5% 3.9% 1.9% 3.1%
HOW LIKELY ARE YOU TO TRAVEL TO CUBA IF RESTRICTIONS ARE LIFTED?
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Very Likely 23.3% 27.2% 23.3% 25.8% N/A N/A
Some What Likely 12.7% 12.7% 9.2% 14.3% N/A N/A
Not Very Likely 10.0% 7.1% 8.3% 8.7% N/A N/A
Not at all Likely 39.0% 23.2% 24.1% 18.8% N/A N/A
Not with Fidel/Raul 13.2% 28.1% 32.8% 31.4% N/A N/A
Don’t' know/no answer 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 1.0% N/A N/A
WHERE DO YOU GET MOST INFO ABOUT CUBA?
Mar-91 Oct-91 Jun-93 Mar-95 Jun-97 Oct-00
Television 48.7% 41.9% 40.4% 62.0% 51.3% 55.3%
Radio 41.2% 23.2% 24.3% 31.6% 21.2% 14.4%
Newspaper 31.1% 18.4% 18.0% 32.1% 19.7% 16.7%
Word of Mouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.5%
Friends living in Cuba 11.0% 5.5% 4.8% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Friends living here 9.1% 5.1% 5.3% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Other 0.0% 2.8% 0.9% 3.1% 6.8% 8.8%
Don’t' know/no answer 0.0% 3.1% 6.3% 0.0% 1.0% 1.4%
note: may add up to more than 100% because one respondent may have listed more than one source of information.