10 year comparison percents based on totals that exclude "don't know" responses

Cuban Research Institute
Institute for Public Opinion Research
Center for Labor Research and Studies
Florida International University

Preliminary results, FIU/Cuba Poll

10 year comparison percents based on totals that exclude "don't know" responses

Spreadsheet with the counts and percentages: 10yr.xls.

below are percentages based on total that excludes "don't know"

Mar-91

Oct-91

Jun-93

Mar-95

Jun-97

Oct-00

Within 1 year

35.2%

54.2%

38.1%

20.9%

13.8%

9.9%

in 2 to 5 years

44.1%

34.3%

39.5%

36.0%

32.4%

34.0%

in 6 to 10 years

5.9%

4.0%

6.1%

12.0%

18.4%

12.1%

over ten years

4.0%

2.5%

5.0%

6.2%

13.9%

15.1%

never

10.8%

5.0%

11.3%

24.9%

21.6%

28.9%

ESTABLISH NATIONAL DIALOG?

Mar-91

Oct-91

Jun-93

Mar-95

Jun-97

Oct-00

Strongly Favor

22.4%

31.1%

22.5%

20.9%

29.7%

34.4%

Mostly Favor

17.4%

18.2%

20.5%

19.6%

21.9%

17.2%

Mostly Oppose

6.4%

8.1%

3.4%

6.9%

13.9%

11.8%

Strongly Oppose

45.8%

31.1%

40.7%

41.9%

34.6%

36.6%

Not with Fidel/Raul

8.0%

11.5%

12.9%

10.7%

0.0%

0.0%

TIGHTENING THE EMBARGO?

Mar-91

Oct-91

Jun-93

Mar-95

Jun-97

Oct-00

Strongly Favor

73.8%

78.1%

73.3%

74.0%

78.2%

62.4%

Mostly Favor

12.8%

8.9%

11.5%

9.4%

0.0%

0.0%

Mostly Oppose

5.8%

5.4%

5.7%

4.8%

21.8%

37.6%

Strongly Oppose

7.6%

7.0%

9.5%

11.2%

0.0%

0.0%

Not with Fidel/Raul

0.0%

0.5%

0.0%

0.6%

0.0%

0.0%

SUPPORT US INVASION OF CUBA?

Mar-91

Oct-91

Jun-93

Mar-95

Jun-97

Oct-00

Strongly Favor

49.3%

39.9%

47.6%

47.8%

51.6%

49.4%

Mostly Favor

13.3%

13.3%

12.5%

10.8%

13.9%

11.0%

Mostly Oppose

12.2%

11.2%

9.6%

11.2%

14.2%

10.0%

Strongly Oppose

25.2%

34.5%

30.3%

29.9%

20.3%

29.6%

Not with Fidel/Raul

0.0%

1.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.0%

0.0%

SUPPORT EXILE INVASION

Mar-91

Oct-91

Jun-93

Mar-95

Jun-97

Oct-00

Strongly Favor

62.0%

60.8%

60.3%

59.0%

55.5%

55.5%

Mostly Favor

14.3%

11.6%

12.5%

14.2%

15.8%

13.5%

Mostly Oppose

9.0%

8.7%

7.9%

8.2%

13.7%

9.6%

Strongly Oppose

14.7%

18.0%

19.2%

18.4%

14.9%

21.4%

Not with Fidel/Raul

0.0%

0.9%

0.0%

0.2%

0.0%

0.0%

SUPPORT HUMAN RIGHTS GROUP INSIDE OF CUBA?

Mar-91

Oct-91

Jun-93

Mar-95

Jun-97

Oct-00

Strongly Favor

74.6%

75.4%

74.7%

77.6%

73.9%

79.9%

Mostly Favor

15.7%

15.5%

15.7%

14.2%

18.3%

14.7%

Mostly Oppose

2.3%

2.0%

2.4%

2.3%

3.2%

1.9%

Strongly Oppose

5.2%

3.9%

4.9%

3.8%

4.6%

3.5%

Not with Fidel/Raul

2.2%

3.1%

2.3%

2.2%

0.0%

0.0%

ALLOW MEDICINE SALES TO CUBA?

Mar-91

Oct-91

Jun-93

Mar-95

Jun-97

Oct-00

Strongly Favor

30.6%

36.4%

29.0%

44.3%

Mostly Favor

19.3%

25.3%

26.6%

21.8%

Mostly Oppose

7.8%

7.5%

11.9%

6.6%

Strongly Oppose

33.2%

26.1%

32.6%

27.4%

Not with Fidel/Raul

9.2%

4.6%

0.0%

0.0%

ALLOW FOOD SALES TO CUBA?

Mar-91

Oct-91

Jun-93

Mar-95

Jun-97

Oct-00

Strongly Favor

15.3%

16.9%

21.1%

38.4%

Mostly Favor

8.1%

11.4%

19.3%

17.9%

Mostly Oppose

9.6%

11.6%

16.7%

8.9%

Strongly Oppose

54.8%

53.4%

43.0%

34.8%

Not with Fidel/Raul

12.2%

6.6%

0.0%

0.0%

ALLOW UNRESTRICTED TRAVEL TO CUBA?

Mar-91

Oct-91

Jun-93

Mar-95

Jun-97

Oct-00

Strongly Favor
31.3%
34.0%

22.6%

21.8%

52.8%

Mostly Favor
14.0%
15.8%

17.8%

15.0%

0.0%

Mostly Oppose
5.8%
5.1%

5.1%

8.9%

47.2%

Strongly Oppose
40.7%
34.3%

45.5%

49.2%

0.0%

Not with Fidel/Raul

10.8%

9.1%

5.1%

0.0%

IF DEMOCRATIC CHANGE OCCURS WOULD YOU RETURN TO LIVE?

Mar-91

Oct-91

Jun-93

Mar-95

Jun-97

Oct-00

Very Likely
16.6%
18.8%

17.9%

16.3%

14.3%

21.9%

Some What Likely
11.8%
13.3%

11.4%

13.4%

15.0%

17.0%

Not Very Likely
18.0%
16.0%

19.3%

18.5%

18.7%

19.1%

Not at all Likely
53.6%
52.0%

51.4%

51.8%

52.1%

42.0%

	below are percentages based on total that excludes "don't know"
	Mar-91	Oct-91	Jun-93	Mar-95	Jun-97	Oct-00
Within 1 year	35.2%	54.2%	38.1%	20.9%	13.8%	9.9%
in 2 to 5 years	44.1%	34.3%	39.5%	36.0%	32.4%	34.0%
in 6 to 10 years	5.9%	4.0%	6.1%	12.0%	18.4%	12.1%
over ten years	4.0%	2.5%	5.0%	6.2%	13.9%	15.1%
never	10.8%	5.0%	11.3%	24.9%	21.6%	28.9%




ESTABLISH NATIONAL DIALOG?
	Mar-91	Oct-91	Jun-93	Mar-95	Jun-97	Oct-00
Strongly Favor	22.4%	31.1%	22.5%	20.9%	29.7%	34.4%
Mostly Favor	17.4%	18.2%	20.5%	19.6%	21.9%	17.2%
Mostly Oppose	6.4%	8.1%	3.4%	6.9%	13.9%	11.8%
Strongly Oppose	45.8%	31.1%	40.7%	41.9%	34.6%	36.6%
Not with Fidel/Raul	8.0%	11.5%	12.9%	10.7%	0.0%	0.0%




TIGHTENING THE EMBARGO?
	Mar-91	Oct-91	Jun-93	Mar-95	Jun-97	Oct-00
Strongly Favor	73.8%	78.1%	73.3%	74.0%	78.2%	62.4%
Mostly Favor	12.8%	8.9%	11.5%	9.4%	0.0%	0.0%
Mostly Oppose	5.8%	5.4%	5.7%	4.8%	21.8%	37.6%
Strongly Oppose	7.6%	7.0%	9.5%	11.2%	0.0%	0.0%
Not with Fidel/Raul	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%	0.6%	0.0%	0.0%



SUPPORT US INVASION OF CUBA?
	Mar-91	Oct-91	Jun-93	Mar-95	Jun-97	Oct-00
Strongly Favor	49.3%	39.9%	47.6%	47.8%	51.6%	49.4%
Mostly Favor	13.3%	13.3%	12.5%	10.8%	13.9%	11.0%
Mostly Oppose	12.2%	11.2%	9.6%	11.2%	14.2%	10.0%
Strongly Oppose	25.2%	34.5%	30.3%	29.9%	20.3%	29.6%
Not with Fidel/Raul	0.0%	1.1%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%






SUPPORT EXILE INVASION
	Mar-91	Oct-91	Jun-93	Mar-95	Jun-97	Oct-00
Strongly Favor	62.0%	60.8%	60.3%	59.0%	55.5%	55.5%
Mostly Favor	14.3%	11.6%	12.5%	14.2%	15.8%	13.5%
Mostly Oppose	9.0%	8.7%	7.9%	8.2%	13.7%	9.6%
Strongly Oppose	14.7%	18.0%	19.2%	18.4%	14.9%	21.4%
Not with Fidel/Raul	0.0%	0.9%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%






SUPPORT HUMAN RIGHTS GROUP INSIDE OF CUBA?
	Mar-91	Oct-91	Jun-93	Mar-95	Jun-97	Oct-00
Strongly Favor	74.6%	75.4%	74.7%	77.6%	73.9%	79.9%
Mostly Favor	15.7%	15.5%	15.7%	14.2%	18.3%	14.7%
Mostly Oppose	2.3%	2.0%	2.4%	2.3%	3.2%	1.9%
Strongly Oppose	5.2%	3.9%	4.9%	3.8%	4.6%	3.5%
Not with Fidel/Raul	2.2%	3.1%	2.3%	2.2%	0.0%	0.0%




ALLOW MEDICINE SALES TO CUBA?
	Mar-91	Oct-91	Jun-93	Mar-95	Jun-97	Oct-00
Strongly Favor			30.6%	36.4%	29.0%	44.3%
Mostly Favor			19.3%	25.3%	26.6%	21.8%
Mostly Oppose			7.8%	7.5%	11.9%	6.6%
Strongly Oppose			33.2%	26.1%	32.6%	27.4%
Not with Fidel/Raul			9.2%	4.6%	0.0%	0.0%




ALLOW FOOD SALES TO CUBA?
	Mar-91	Oct-91	Jun-93	Mar-95	Jun-97	Oct-00
Strongly Favor			15.3%	16.9%	21.1%	38.4%
Mostly Favor			8.1%	11.4%	19.3%	17.9%
Mostly Oppose			9.6%	11.6%	16.7%	8.9%
Strongly Oppose			54.8%	53.4%	43.0%	34.8%
Not with Fidel/Raul			12.2%	6.6%	0.0%	0.0%






ALLOW UNRESTRICTED TRAVEL TO CUBA?
	Mar-91	Oct-91	Jun-93	Mar-95	Jun-97	Oct-00
Strongly Favor	31.3%	34.0%	22.6%	21.8%		52.8%
Mostly Favor	14.0%	15.8%	17.8%	15.0%		0.0%
Mostly Oppose	5.8%	5.1%	5.1%	8.9%		47.2%
Strongly Oppose	40.7%	34.3%	45.5%	49.2%		0.0%
Not with Fidel/Raul		10.8%	9.1%	5.1%		0.0%




IF DEMOCRATIC CHANGE OCCURS WOULD YOU RETURN TO LIVE?
	Mar-91	Oct-91	Jun-93	Mar-95	Jun-97	Oct-00
Very Likely	16.6%	18.8%	17.9%	16.3%	14.3%	21.9%
Some What Likely	11.8%	13.3%	11.4%	13.4%	15.0%	17.0%
Not Very Likely	18.0%	16.0%	19.3%	18.5%	18.7%	19.1%
Not at all Likely	53.6%	52.0%	51.4%	51.8%	52.1%	42.0%