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1. When will major political change occur in Cuba?

1. Durante los últimos años, se ha hablado sobre la posibilidad de cambios políticos en Cuba. Cuándo piensa Ud. que sea probable que ocurran cambios políticos importantes? Diría Ud. que dentro de un año, entre dos y cinco años, entre seis a 10 años, en más de 10 años, o nunca?

1. Over the past few years, people have been talking about the possibility of political changes in Cuba. When do you think that major political changes are likely to occur in Cuba? Would you say within one year, in two to five years, in six to ten years, over ten years, or never?

Frequencies

**1. When will major political change occur?**
		Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
*Valid*	*WITHIN ONE YEAR?*	127	10.6	13.8	13.8
	*IN TWO TO FIVE YEARS*	299	24.9	32.4	46.2
	*IN SIX TO TEN YEARS?*	170	14.2	18.4	64.6
	*OVER TEN YEARS?*	128	10.7	13.9	78.4
	*OR NEVER?*	199	16.6	21.6	100.0
	*Total*	923	76.9	100.0
*Missing*	*DON'T KNOW*	252	21.0
	*DON'T CARE /DON'T WANT TO RESPOND*	25	2.1
	*Total*	277	23.1
*Total*		1200	100.0

Tables

**When will major political change occur**
		7. Establish national dialogue?		9. Overall how well has embargo worked?		Age
		oppose	favor	not well	well	18-29	30-44	45-64	65 and older
*1. When will major political change occur?*	*WITHIN ONE YEAR?*	16%	11%	12%	18%	2%	7%	20%	23%
	*IN TWO TO FIVE YEARS*	34%	33%	32%	33%	31%	33%	32%	33%
	*IN SIX TO TEN YEARS?*	16%	21%	19%	17%	35%	22%	9%	13%
	*OVER TEN YEARS?*	11%	15%	14%	12%	17%	20%	10%	9%
	*OR NEVER?*	22%	19%	22%	20%	15%	17%	29%	22%

Tables

**When will major political change occur**
		Gender of respondent		high school graduate		39. In what year did you leave Cuba?
		MALE	FEMALE	less than HS	HS or more	1959 or before	1960-1969	1970-1979	1980-1989	1990-1997
*1. When will major political change occur?*	*WITHIN ONE YEAR?*	13%	14%	27%	10%	23%	15%	20%	18%	10%
	*IN TWO TO FIVE YEARS*	37%	29%	28%	34%	27%	35%	31%	34%	28%
	*IN SIX TO TEN YEARS?*	23%	16%	10%	21%	13%	13%	15%	19%	14%
	*OVER TEN YEARS?*	12%	15%	10%	15%	15%	11%	18%	8%	19%
	*OR NEVER?*	16%	25%	24%	21%	23%	26%	16%	21%	28%

Tables

**When will major political change occur**
		50. Are you a U.S. citizen?		race		income
		citizen	not citizen	White	Black or Mulatto	under $20,000	$20-50,000	over $50,000
*1. When will major political change occur?*	*WITHIN ONE YEAR?*	13%	16%	14%	12%	21%	11%	6%
	*IN TWO TO FIVE YEARS*	34%	28%	31%	47%	31%	31%	38%
	*IN SIX TO TEN YEARS?*	21%	12%	19%	12%	12%	19%	28%
	*OVER TEN YEARS?*	13%	15%	14%	12%	13%	16%	15%
	*OR NEVER?*	19%	28%	22%	16%	23%	23%	13%

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Revised July 21, 1997 by Hugh Gladwin