According to Mr. Suárez, nowadays the Cuban government has no
option but to
accept the existence of outspoken and organized internal opposition
groups:
"they are too many, too well-known internationally for the government
to
make them disappear." Even though it is impossible to provide with
a
reliable census, around 250 organizations have been tallied, which
would
comprise active dissenters by the low thousands. In addition, there
has been
a renaissance of independent civil society activity, as some Cubans
search
for non-Statal alternatives to their desperate situation. These
activities
are deemed counter-revolutionary by the regime, even though they are
often apolitical.
For Mr. Suárez it is evident that international actors can
affect decisively
the future of Cuba. Not only the U.S. but also the European Union and
key
countries such as Mexico, Venezuela or Canada can play central roles
in the
current evolution of the Cuban State. Yet, he warned
emphatically: "the
Cuban people must remain at the heart of any transformations. That is
why
the empowerment of an internal democratic force is in order".
When asked about the role of the U.S. government in the promotion
of
democracy in the island, Mr. Suárez affirmed that the current
U.S. policy is
probably better than an unconditional lifting of economic
sanctions.
Nevertheless, he pointed out that "the U.S. could be more effective
[in
promoting democracy] by improving the Cubans' access to free and
uncensored
information". He cited the upgrading of Radio and TV Martí [the
Radio Free
Europe-like media outlets for Cuba] as a simple and relatively
inexpensive
strategy to bring about critical changes.
Many believe Cuba will flow towards democracy after Cuba's Big Brother
Fidel Castro
physically disappears. The how and when, however, remain
to be seen, as well as the "led
by whom". Unfortunately, if Mr. Castro
were to die today, the opposition would not
be prepared to fully
participate in the country's transformations. It has not
achieved such
a level of maturity. Hence, overcoming this deficiency should be their
maximum
priority today, since rapid changes can surprise them, literally, at
any time.
For more information on the Cuban internal pro-democracy movement,
please
visit http://www.fiu.edu/~fcf,
or e-mail John Suárez at fcf@fiu.edu.